Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Trump say "Cure to Cancer" this week? (March 22)
14.5%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +7 pts
55/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Trump saying 'Cure to Cancer' this week.
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
92.79%
Market YES
7%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 85.79% -7 pts
45/100
High probability suggests Gavin Newsom is likely to run for President in 2028.
Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?
84%
Market YES
16%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $193K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 77% -7 pts
55/100
High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit Pennsylvania in 2026.
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
90%
Market YES
10%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $31K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 82.01% -7 pts
55/100
The market strongly favors Democrats winning a House majority in 2026.
Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 22)
56.5%
Market YES
44%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 61.5% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors Trump saying 'Finish the Job' this week with a 68.5% probability.
Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)
74.5%
Market YES
26%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 63% -7 pts
55/100
Market indicates a high likelihood Trump will say 'President Xi' this week.
Will Donald Trump visit New York in 2026?
92.8%
Market YES
7%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $193K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 85.8% -7 pts
55/100
High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit New York in 2026.
Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?
69.5%
Market YES
31%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $193K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 62.5% -7 pts
55/100
Market indicates a strong likelihood of Trump visiting Nevada in 2026.
Will Randy Fine win the 2026 FL-06 general election?
68.44%
Market YES
32%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 71.22% -7 pts
55/100
Randy Fine has a strong chance to win the 2026 FL-06 election with 78.22% market probability.
Will Trump say "Doug" or "Burgum" this week? (March 22)
75.5%
Market YES
25%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 68.5% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors Trump saying 'Doug' or 'Burgum' this week with a 75.5% probability.
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
80%
Market YES
20%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $491K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 69.5% -7 pts
65/100
High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit China by June 30.
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
73%
Market YES
27%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $815K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 66% -7 pts
65/100
Market indicates a high likelihood of Trump's visit to China by May 31.
Will Donald Trump‘s approval drop below 40% before US midterm election
98.99%
Market YES
1%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 73.97% -7 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump's approval will drop below 40% before midterms.
Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?
62%
Market YES
38%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $193K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors a Trump visit to Louisiana in 2026 with a 62% probability.
Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin in 2026?
63%
Market YES
37%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $193K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 56% -7 pts
55/100
Market shows a 63% chance of Trump visiting Wisconsin in 2026.
Will trump be alive until March 10 2026?
99%
Market YES
1%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 92% -7 pts
55/100
Market strongly favors Trump being alive until March 10, 2026.
Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
50.51%
Market YES
49%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 58.13% -7 pts
45/100
Market leans towards Trump signing cannabis legislation in his second term.
Did Donald Trump have sex with an underage girl? [Resolves to % based on poll]
66.17%
Market YES
34%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 63.01% -7 pts
55/100
Market indicates a high probability of Trump having sex with an underage girl.
Will the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
79.91%
Market YES
20%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 72.91% -7 pts
45/100
High probability suggests Pope Leo XIV will shake hands with Trump.
Will Trump say "Heritage" or "Culture" during Taoiseach events?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $32K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 82% -7 pts
60/100
High probability that Trump will use 'Heritage' or 'Culture' at Taoiseach events.
Will Joe Biden be alive in November of 2028?
70.86%
Market YES
29%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 63.86% -7 pts
45/100
Market favors Biden's survival until November 2028 with a 70.86% probability.
Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
91.26%
Market YES
9%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 84.26% -7 pts
55/100
High probability for Democrats winning House majority in 2026 elections.
Will Trump issue a pardon / commutation for a group of people (not by name) during his term?
91.41%
Market YES
9%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 84.41% -7 pts
45/100
High probability indicates strong market belief Trump will issue a pardon during his term.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
92.45%
Market YES
8%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 83.61% -7 pts
55/100
Market strongly favors Trump being president on 12/31/2026.
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