Event Intelligence

🔬 Science & Health 44 markets

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 69°F or below on March 24?

9.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $561K

🔬 Science & Health 14 markets

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

69.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.3M

🔬 Science & Health 7 markets

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?

14.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $279K

🔬 Science & Health 6 markets

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

0.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $28.6M

🔬 Science & Health 3 markets

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

14.9%

Avg YES

Manifold $106K

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will Tetraspace bite her nails on 2026-03-26?

56.9%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will Elon Musk travel to space by 2035?

37.1%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will Lubbock get top 16 at Science Bowl Nationals 2026?

58.7%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will "Safety researchers should take a public stance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

18.2%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will the NASA Viper rover land on the moon before 2030?

58.5%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will a person get lost in space by 2035?

38%

Avg YES

Manifold $2K

🔬 Science & Health 2 markets

Will NASA's Artemis II mission successfully launch by May 1st, 2026?

81.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $6K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

94.3%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

36.5%

Avg YES

Manifold $13K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

NASA confirms aliens before 2027?

3%

Avg YES

Manifold $59K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will my Biology AAC Average be 100(rounded) by the end of the 2025-2025 school year?

63%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Pythom Space achieves successful launch by end of Q1 2026?

1%

Avg YES

Manifold $2K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

19.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $31K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?

2%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep you need by 2040?

21.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $2K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

2.5%

Avg YES

Manifold $18K

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?

59.5%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will NASA Astronomy Picture of the Day mention the Moon when this resolves?

3.4%

Avg YES

Manifold

🔬 Science & Health 1 market

Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?

8.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $3K