Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

6,464 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
⚽ Sports 94 markets
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
6.3%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $2112M
💰 Business & Finance 13 markets
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
17.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $562.8M
⚽ Sports 30 markets
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4.6%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $1908.2M
⚽ Sports 23 markets
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
4.4%
Avg YES
Polymarket $338.9M
🗳️ Politics 58 markets
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1.7%
Avg YES
Polymarket $1267.7M
🔮 Other 3 markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
18.6%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $63.2M
🗳️ Politics 4 markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6.4%
Avg YES
Polymarket $41.3M
🔮 Other 14 markets
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6.9%
Avg YES
Polymarket $69.9M
🌍 Geopolitics 5 markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
16.4%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $110.7M
🌍 Geopolitics 16 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
17.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $236.2M
🌍 Geopolitics 4 markets
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
75%
Avg YES
Polymarket $69.8M
🔮 Other 3 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10.2%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $20.6M
🗳️ Politics 12 markets
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?
16.4%
Avg YES
Polymarket $39.5M
🌍 Geopolitics 58 markets
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
69.3%
Avg YES
Polymarket $289.1M
🔮 Other 118 markets
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
5.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $710.1M
🌍 Geopolitics 12 markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
18.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $27.5M
🔮 Other 4 markets
GTA VI released before June 2026?
22.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket, Manifold $12.7M
🗳️ Politics 6 markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
16.8%
Avg YES
Polymarket $40.3M
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.2%
Avg YES
Polymarket $8.2M
⚽ Sports 6 markets
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
2.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $52.9M
🔮 Other 33 markets
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
19.8%
Avg YES
Polymarket $320.4M
🔮 Other 2 markets
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
6.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $8.5M
🗳️ Politics 7 markets
Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?
14.3%
Avg YES
Polymarket $18.9M
🔮 Other 4 markets
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
29.8%
Avg YES
Polymarket $7M
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