🎬 Entertainment Markets

Will Disney/Universal win their lawsuit against Midjourney

25%

Market YES

75%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% +5 pts

40/100

The market favors a NO outcome for Disney/Universal's lawsuit against Midjourney.

Will Taylor Swift make the best selling album in the US in 2026?

46.06%

Market YES

54%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.06% +5 pts

50/100

The market shows a close split on Taylor Swift's chances for the best-selling album in 2026.

Will anyone have an uncommon pet in tonight's movie? Excludes Dog, Cat, and Fish. (March 16 2026)

55%

Market YES

45%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 50% -5 pts

55/100

There's a 55% chance of an uncommon pet appearing in tonight's movie.

Will the Super Mario Galaxy movie feature a teaser for a Legend of Zelda film?

34.07%

Market YES

66%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44.67% +5 pts

50/100

Market leans towards no teaser for a Legend of Zelda film in Super Mario Galaxy.

2030 Oscars or earlier will have a movie nominated with significant portion playing in a US migrant detention center

96.8%

Market YES

3%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 91.8% -5 pts

40/100

High probability for a film set in a US migrant detention center to be nominated by 2030 Oscars.

Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before 2030?

37%

Market YES

63%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42% +5 pts

45/100

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will there be a tie at the 2027 Oscars?

9.58%

Market YES

90%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.69% +5 pts

40/100

The market indicates a low probability of a tie at the 2027 Oscars.

What will Tumbles rate the Project Hail Mary movie out of 10?

79.67%

Market YES

20%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 74.67% -5 pts

50/100

Tumbles is likely to rate Project Hail Mary positively based on current market data.

Will i watch 100 movies this year?

38.22%

Market YES

62%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43.22% +5 pts

50/100

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will a man get pushed/kicked/blasted through a window in tonight's movie? (March 9 2026)

56%

Market YES

44%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51% -5 pts

55/100

There's a 56% chance a man will be pushed or kicked through a window in tonight's movie.

Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?

98.13%

Market YES

2%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $1K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 82.36% -5 pts

50/100

High probability of a 2026 movie grossing over $1 billion.

Will a new Tremors movie release before 2030?

54.75%

Market YES

45%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49.75% -5 pts

45/100

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Kevin Hart host the Oscars before 2031?

23.77%

Market YES

76%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.77% +5 pts

45/100

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?

0.6%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.1% +3.5 pts

55/100

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Netflix dip to $70 in March?

2.75%

Market YES

97%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.75% +3 pts

55/100

Market shows low probability for Netflix dipping to $70 in March.

Will Kanye release a new album in 2026?

81%

Market YES

19%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $1K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 92.21% -3 pts

55/100

High probability for Kanye's new album release in 2026.

In the "Project Hail Mary" movie, will a Beatles song be played during the scene where the beetles are launched?

98.18%

Market YES

2%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 95.81% -3 pts

55/100

High likelihood of a Beatles song being played in the movie scene.

Will Tom Holland get an Oscar by end of 2027

9.44%

Market YES

91%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.34% +3 pts

50/100

The market indicates a low probability of Tom Holland winning an Oscar by 2027.

Will someone be slapped at the 2026 Oscars?

2.56%

Market YES

97%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $5K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.56% +3 pts

55/100

Low probability of a slap occurring at the 2026 Oscars.

Will JJ Abrams direct a movie in the 2020s?

93.58%

Market YES

6%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $13K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.23% -3 pts

45/100

High probability suggests JJ Abrams will direct a movie in the 2020s.

Will Marty Supreme be the Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner?

1.01%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.01% +3 pts

55/100

Marty Supreme has a low probability of winning Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars.

Will One Battle After Another be the Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner?

99.01%

Market YES

1%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 96.01% -3 pts

55/100

High probability for 'One Battle After Another' to win Best Picture at the Oscars 2026.

'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?

99%

Market YES

1%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $2K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 96% -3 pts

55/100

'One Battle After Another' is highly favored to win Best Picture at the Oscars.

Will Netflix reach $105 in March?

19.5%

Market YES

81%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $18K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22% +3 pts

55/100

Market indicates low likelihood of Netflix reaching $105 in March.