Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

1
Market Price
Current crowd consensus
2
AI Pulse Score
Our model's adjusted probability
3
Edge Score
Gap between the two — higher = more divergence
Positive edge = YES may be undervalued
Negative edge = NO may be undervalued
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
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2,770 markets with edge score > 3 pts
Market Market AI ⚡ Edge Conf Verdict
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 138.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
0% 50.5% -9 pts 60 ~
China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?
Manifold Geopolitics
96.07% 86.71% -9 pts 60 YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Manifold Geopolitics
81% 72% -9 pts 60 YES
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for mor…
Manifold Geopolitics
82.34% 74.59% -9 pts 60 YES
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 42% -9 pts 60 NO
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
Polymarket Geopolitics
84.5% 75.5% -9 pts 60 YES
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Polymarket Geopolitics
0% 41.5% -9 pts 60 NO
Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the U…
Manifold Geopolitics
56.61% 47% -9 pts 60 ~
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
Polymarket Geopolitics
74% 65% -9 pts 60 YES
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 136.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
0.05% 41.5% -9 pts 60 NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Polymarket Geopolitics
61.5% 50.5% -9 pts 60 ~
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 42.5% -9 pts 60 NO
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-3.5)
Polymarket Geopolitics
99.95% 41.5% -9 pts 60 NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Manifold Geopolitics
59.99% 55.74% -9 pts 60 YES
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
0% 42.5% -9 pts 60 NO
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 139.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
0% 42% -9 pts 60 NO
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 137.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
0.05% 41.5% -9 pts 60 NO
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5
Polymarket Geopolitics
100% 41.5% -9 pts 60 NO
Will Iran appoint a new Supreme Leader by April 1st, 2026?
Manifold Geopolitics
98.69% 89.69% -9 pts 60 YES
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
Manifold Geopolitics
85% 51.03% -9 pts 55 ~
Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025?
Manifold Geopolitics
86.63% 77.63% -9 pts 55 YES
Will Russia make territorial gains in Ukraine in 2026?
Manifold Geopolitics
88.42% 79.42% -9 pts 55 YES
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Manifold Geopolitics
79.86% 70.73% -9 pts 55 YES
At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory they…
Manifold Geopolitics
82% 76.99% -9 pts 55 YES
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