|
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by m…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
35.71% |
40.71% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
20.94% |
25.64% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
33.1% |
38% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will there be another significant accident in a nuclear power plant before 2035?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
21.18% |
21.47% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
9.4% |
14.4% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military se…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
9.44% |
12.86% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
10.7% |
12% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Ethereum reach $500 before it reaches $5000?
Manifold
Crypto
|
13.16% |
18.16% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
39% |
44% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
7.85% |
12.85% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US,…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
20.62% |
25.62% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
90.82% |
85.82% |
-5 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
24.94% |
31.37% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
83.55% |
78.55% |
-5 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 20…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
11.64% |
15.58% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
21.31% |
33.25% |
+5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 149.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
95
|
YES
|
|
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
95
|
YES
|
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% |
95.45% |
-4.5 pts
|
95
|
YES
|
|
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
90
|
YES
|
|
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
90
|
YES
|
|
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-2.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
90
|
YES
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
90
|
YES
|
|
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs aimclub (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
95.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
90
|
YES
|