|
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in …
Polymarket
Politics
|
1.55% |
4.95% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary electi…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.75% |
5.6% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the nex…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.55% |
5.3% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will John Sanchez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.3% |
4.85% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce G…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
15.97% |
28.84% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Judith Nakamura win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary electio…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.65% |
5.8% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the "Dead by April" AI agent earn a net profit by April 3, 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
96.26% |
20.97% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary electio…
Polymarket
Politics
|
1.3% |
4.85% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.75% |
5.85% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
4.3% |
9.05% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
14.35% |
18.55% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.25% |
4.95% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.45% |
4.65% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.3% |
6% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.3% |
5% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
1.05% |
6.95% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
1.4% |
5.95% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.25% |
6.55% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
1.1% |
5.8% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
41.83% |
46.33% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.4% |
4.85% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
13.12% |
18.71% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% |
88.85% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% |
95.25% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|