|
Will Donald Trump visit Kentucky in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
64.5% |
57.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
69.5% |
62.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?
Manifold
Politics
|
52.91% |
58% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit New York in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
92.8% |
85.8% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
73% |
66% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
62% |
55% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
Manifold
Politics
|
89.45% |
83.08% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
Manifold
Politics
|
60.7% |
56.11% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
58.33% |
57.45% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
87.29% |
86.13% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
93.64% |
79.02% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
71.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Trump live until march 30th?
Manifold
Politics
|
99.63% |
90% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold
Politics
|
86.35% |
78.92% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
One Nation gets at least 4 seats in the South Australian election?
Manifold
Politics
|
96% |
73% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
Manifold
Politics
|
83.98% |
77.94% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?
Manifold
Politics
|
70.67% |
62.74% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Did Donald Trump have sex with an underage girl? [Resolves to % based on poll]
Manifold
Politics
|
66.17% |
63.01% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
If Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Maine Senate race i…
Manifold
Politics
|
74.22% |
64.83% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Manifold
Politics
|
91.75% |
83.54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold
Politics
|
86.02% |
82.94% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?
Manifold
Politics
|
81.83% |
79.1% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|