Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?

Market indicates a strong likelihood of Trump visiting Nevada in 2026.

The market shows a 69.5% probability for Donald Trump visiting Nevada in 2026, suggesting significant confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely but is slightly lower at 62.5%, indicating some uncertainty. The edge of -7 points for the NO side suggests that it may be undervalued, potentially reflecting changing sentiments or events leading up to the visit.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a visit by Trump to Nevada.
• 2 The probability gap indicates potential undervaluation of the NO side.
• 3 Confidence level of 55 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time until expiry is significant, allowing for potential changes in the political landscape.
• 5 Market dynamics may shift based on upcoming political events or Trump's decisions.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.