Politics Prediction Markets — PredictionPulse

Will there ever be a president of the USA born in the 80s?

72.97%

Market YES

27%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63.97% -9 pts

40/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Switzerland vote to allow usage of nuclear energy again?

65%

Market YES

35%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 56% -9 pts

40/100

Switzerland has a 65% chance of voting to allow nuclear energy again.

If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?

87.87%

Market YES

12%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 78.87% -9 pts

40/100

High probability for no tax on tips if Trump is elected by 2028.

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March?

71%

Market YES

29%

Market NO

Polymarket

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 62% -9 pts

50/100

There's a 71% chance Trump will talk to Zelenskyy in March.

US Senate 2026 """Safe""" Parlay

79.63%

Market YES

20%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 70.63% -9 pts

50/100

The market indicates a strong likelihood for a 'Safe' outcome in the 2026 US Senate race.

Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?

90.31%

Market YES

10%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 81.31% -9 pts

50/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

67.71%

Market YES

32%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 58.71% -9 pts

50/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will the 47th President be impeached?

62.54%

Market YES

37%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55.74% -9 pts

40/100

Market indicates a high probability of impeachment for the 47th President.

Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029

62.54%

Market YES

37%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55.16% -9 pts

45/100

Market indicates a 64.16% chance of Trump being impeached before January 2029.

Will TISZA party win the 2026 Hungarian elections and get 50%+1 member of the parliment and gain voting majority?

73%

Market YES

27%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 64% -9 pts

50/100

TISZA party has a 73% chance of winning a majority in the 2026 elections.

Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?

81%

Market YES

19%

Market NO

Polymarket

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 72% -9 pts

50/100

There's a high probability that Donald Trump will visit California in 2026.

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

68.5%

Market YES

32%

Market NO

Polymarket

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 59.5% -9 pts

50/100

Market indicates a strong likelihood of Trump speaking with Xi in March.

Will the two-child benefit cap be scrapped before the next UK election after 2024?

91.1%

Market YES

9%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 82.1% -9 pts

45/100

High probability suggests the two-child benefit cap will likely be scrapped before the next UK elect

Will Pierre Pollievre be leader of the Conservatives on the date of the next election?

70.63%

Market YES

29%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 61.63% -9 pts

40/100

Pollievre is favored to remain Conservative leader by the next election.

IF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?

75.76%

Market YES

24%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 66.76% -9 pts

50/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

84%

Market YES

16%

Market NO

Polymarket

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 75% -9 pts

50/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

President of Cuba Miguel Diaz Canel deposed by 2030

84.7%

Market YES

15%

Market NO

Manifold

Vol $1K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 66.12% -9 pts

40/100

High probability of Miguel Diaz Canel being deposed by 2030.

Will the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?

86.46%

Market YES

14%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.46% -9 pts

45/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

If Khamenei or Epstein faked their deaths, will Trump do a backflip, XOR will Putin not release a sex tape, by 2100?

87.68%

Market YES

12%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.83% -9 pts

40/100

High probability for a YES outcome in a complex political scenario.

Will at least one Ivy League university have a new permanent president start work before Sept 7, 2026?

86.57%

Market YES

13%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.57% -9 pts

55/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Labour win a by election before the next UK general election?

77.99%

Market YES

22%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 59.67% -9 pts

45/100

Labour has a 68.67% chance of winning a by-election before the next general election.

Will the next non Republican president remove Trump's name from the Kennedy Center in their first year?

83.62%

Market YES

16%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 74.62% -9 pts

40/100

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026

69.65%

Market YES

30%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 60.65% -9 pts

50/100

The market suggests a strong likelihood of Republicans gaining Maine's 2nd District in 2026.

Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?

64%

Market YES

36%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55% -9 pts

45/100

Market indicates a 64% chance of Trump being impeached by the House before his term ends.

🗳️ Politics Markets