Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?

Market indicates a 64% chance of Trump being impeached by the House before his term ends.

The prediction market shows a 64% probability that Trump will be impeached by the House before the end of his second term, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly lower probability of 55%. The edge of -9 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment, and the overall confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards impeachment with a 64% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI's lower probability suggests some uncertainty in the prediction.
• 3 The -9 edge indicates a lack of sufficient data for a strong conclusion.
• 4 Confidence level of 45/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments to influence the market.