Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Bitcoin cross $76K before April 1?
Manifold
Crypto
|
1% | 46% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 32% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 27.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuq…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
13.56% | 18.56% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
49% | 54% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
1.59% | 6.59% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
48.5% | 53.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 4: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
49.5% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
49.5% | 54.5% | +5 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex b…
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
32% | 29.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 4: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
25% | 29% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
28% | 34% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |