|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
94% |
-6 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
66.5% |
60.5% |
-6 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
77% |
71% |
-6 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump apologize for bombing Iranian school?
Manifold
Politics
|
1% |
12.89% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Clear evidence by June 1st 2026 that Donald Trump was treated with Leqembi
Manifold
Politics
|
6.07% |
12.07% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
81.76% |
75.76% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the democrats win the 2026 Alabama governor election?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.24% |
13.39% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump flee to Russia?
Manifold
Politics
|
5% |
11% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in March?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.25% |
19.55% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.4% |
10.6% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump Die in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
6% |
13.43% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tarif…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
86.07% |
80.07% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary…
Manifold
Politics
|
3.95% |
9.42% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
8.76% |
14.76% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US…
Manifold
Politics
|
19.88% |
25.88% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 …
Manifold
Politics
|
9% |
16% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Bitcoin below $60K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
73% |
68% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized…
Manifold
Politics
|
19% |
25% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?
Manifold
Politics
|
3.03% |
9.2% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Natus Vincere qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% |
93.95% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Polymarket
Politics
|
4.85% |
18% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
2.32% |
8.32% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will there be two UK General Elections in rapid (<2 year) succession?
Manifold
Politics
|
5% |
11% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Manifold
Politics
|
8.79% |
14.79% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|