|
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
92.55% |
47.5% |
-7.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
98% |
59.5% |
-7.5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
95.25% |
82% |
-7.5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
65% |
-7.5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Polymarket
Politics
|
73% |
66% |
-7 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Polymarket
Politics
|
80% |
69.5% |
-7 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
If a Manifold presidental election was held today, would Kamala beat Trump?
Manifold
Politics
|
99% |
91.33% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
Polymarket
Politics
|
67.5% |
60.5% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
67.5% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
92.45% |
85% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Heritage" or "Culture" during Taoiseach events?
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
82% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump‘s approval drop below 40% before US midterm election
Manifold
Politics
|
98.99% |
73.97% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
91.54% |
84.27% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say something negative about Pope Leo XIV before May 8 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
45% |
55.58% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representativ…
Polymarket
Politics
|
86.25% |
82.45% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)
Polymarket
Politics
|
0% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 el…
Manifold
Politics
|
90% |
82.01% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Delcy Rodríguez still be President of Venezuela on May 4, 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
84.26% |
77% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?
Manifold
Politics
|
79.17% |
68.78% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
74.5% |
63% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Thomas Massie wins Kentucky's 4th Republican primary in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
65.96% |
53.2% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will the midterm elections take place on November 3rd?
Manifold
Politics
|
93.73% |
88.66% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month?
Manifold
Politics
|
90.84% |
76.94% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
74.5% |
69.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|