Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Market indicates a high likelihood of Trump's visit to China by May 31.

The current market probability for Trump's visit to China stands at 73%, suggesting strong sentiment in favor of the visit. However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 66%, indicating some skepticism. The NO side is considered undervalued by 7 points, which may reflect potential uncertainties surrounding the visit.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a YES outcome.
• 2 The Pulse AI shows a more cautious view compared to market probability.
• 3 The NO side's undervaluation suggests potential for correction.
• 4 Time pressure is significant with only 337 hours until expiry.
• 5 Political dynamics could rapidly influence the likelihood of the visit.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.