Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 22)

There's a 76.5% chance Trump will say 'Sleepy Joe' this week.

The market shows a strong inclination towards Trump using the phrase 'Sleepy Joe' this week, with a probability of 76.5%. However, the Pulse AI indicates a slightly lower probability of 69.5%, suggesting a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points. With 120 hours until expiry, market sentiment appears confident but not overwhelmingly so.

• 1 Current market probability favors YES at 76.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a lower probability of 69.5% for YES.
• 3 The NO side is undervalued by 7 points based on AI analysis.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 120 hours remain until the market closes, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not