|
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Polymarket
Politics
|
80% |
69.5% |
-7 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Polymarket
Politics
|
73% |
66% |
-7 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
If a Manifold presidental election was held today, would Kamala beat Trump?
Manifold
Politics
|
99% |
91.33% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump‘s approval drop below 40% before US midterm election
Manifold
Politics
|
98.99% |
73.97% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representativ…
Polymarket
Politics
|
86.25% |
82.45% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
67.5% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
92.45% |
85% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Heritage" or "Culture" during Taoiseach events?
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
82% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say something negative about Pope Leo XIV before May 8 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
45% |
55.58% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
91.54% |
84.27% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
Polymarket
Politics
|
67.5% |
60.5% |
-7 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
66.5% |
59.5% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
93.64% |
79.02% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump live until march 30th?
Manifold
Politics
|
99.63% |
90% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
One Nation gets at least 4 seats in the South Australian election?
Manifold
Politics
|
96% |
73% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Larry the Cat outlast Keir Starmer’s Prime Minister tenure?
Manifold
Politics
|
60.51% |
67.9% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
61% |
54% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next elect…
Manifold
Politics
|
88.84% |
87.44% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2…
Manifold
Politics
|
84% |
72.71% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 gene…
Manifold
Politics
|
68% |
68% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
77% |
70% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin in 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
63% |
56% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?
Manifold
Politics
|
70.67% |
62.74% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold
Politics
|
89.63% |
82.63% |
-7 pts
|
55
|
YES
|