Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

The market strongly favors PLC winning the third most seats in the 2026 election.

With an 89.45% probability for a YES outcome, market sentiment heavily leans towards PLC securing the third most seats. The Pulse AI probability of 82.45% supports this, though it indicates a slight undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points, suggesting some uncertainty remains.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for PLC.
• 2 The NO side is considered undervalued, indicating potential market correction.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is unknown, adding unpredictability to the market.
• 5 Historical trends may influence voter behavior leading up to the election.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results