|
Will Iran appoint a new Supreme Leader by April 1st, 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
98.69% |
89.69% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
57.56% |
55.74% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
51% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
50% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-3.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for mor…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
83% |
74.59% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
36.5% |
55.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
34.5% |
55% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 137.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.05% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 136.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.05% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 138.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
50.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 139.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.05% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
74% |
65% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
42.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the U…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
56.61% |
47% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
60.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
47% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
~
|