Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?

Market suggests a high probability of Mojtaba Khamenei being killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026.

The market indicates a 64.74% probability of Mojtaba Khamenei being killed by US or Israeli forces in 2026, reflecting significant geopolitical tensions. The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 55.74%, suggesting a divergence in sentiment. The NO side appears undervalued by 9 points, indicating potential for reassessment as events unfold.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a YES outcome.
• 2 The probability gap indicates potential mispricing in the NO side.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for significant geopolitical developments.
• 5 Market dynamics may shift rapidly based on unfolding events in the region.