Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

1
Market Price
Current crowd consensus
2
AI Pulse Score
Our model's adjusted probability
3
Edge Score
Gap between the two — higher = more divergence
Positive edge = YES may be undervalued
Negative edge = NO may be undervalued
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
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21 markets with edge score > 3 pts
Market Market AI ⚡ Edge Conf Verdict
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth deca…
Manifold Science & Health
2.3% 5.8% +3.5 pts 60 NO
Will there be an Opioid Vaccine available by the end of 2026?
Manifold Science & Health
4.56% 8.06% +3.5 pts 60 NO
Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability b…
Manifold Science & Health
1.97% 5.47% +3.5 pts 60 NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 24?
Polymarket Science & Health
0.05% 35.5% +3.5 pts 60 NO
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in cour…
Manifold Science & Health
49% 52.5% +3.5 pts 55 ~
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Manifold Science & Health
13.94% 17.44% +3.5 pts 55 NO
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold Science & Health
3.02% 8.5% +3.5 pts 55 NO
Pythom Space achieves successful launch by end of Q1 2026?
Manifold Science & Health
1% 4.5% +3.5 pts 55 NO
Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?
Manifold Science & Health
15.95% 19.45% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will a person get lost in space by 2035?
Manifold Science & Health
17.61% 21.11% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?
Manifold Science & Health
19.11% 22.61% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will an adult movie be made in space and released by mid 2034?
Manifold Science & Health
39.63% 43.13% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2033?
Manifold Science & Health
18.76% 22.26% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science signifi…
Manifold Science & Health
12.14% 15.64% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
Manifold Science & Health
9.61% 13.29% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?
Manifold Science & Health
8.84% 12.34% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
Manifold Science & Health
2.48% 5.98% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep …
Manifold Science & Health
21.13% 21.44% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
Manifold Science & Health
19.3% 24.42% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?
Manifold Science & Health
10.56% 14.06% +3.5 pts 50 NO
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection b…
Manifold Science & Health
24.94% 28.5% +3.5 pts 50 NO