Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

Low probability of NASA assigning asteroid YR4 an impact risk of ≥4.0% before June 2029.

The market indicates a strong belief that NASA will not assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of 4.0% or higher, with a NO probability of 97.52%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance at 5.98%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty in the assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the Pulse AI prediction.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential new information.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a calculated edge of 3.5.