Will Iran appoint a new Supreme Leader by April 1st, 2026?

High probability of Iran appointing a new Supreme Leader by April 2026.

The market indicates a strong belief that Iran will appoint a new Supreme Leader by April 1, 2026, with a probability of 98.69%. However, the Pulse AI suggests a lower probability of 89.69%, indicating that the NO side may be undervalued by 9 points, reflecting some uncertainty in the prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a new Supreme Leader appointment.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a notable gap between market and AI expectations.
• 3 The NO side is perceived as undervalued, indicating potential market overconfidence.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 550 hours, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 External geopolitical factors could significantly influence the outcome.