If a Manifold presidental election was held today, would Kamala beat Trump?

Kamala is heavily favored to beat Trump in a hypothetical election today.

The prediction market shows a strong probability of 98.33% for Kamala winning against Trump, indicating significant confidence in her candidacy. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 91.33%, highlighting a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points. With 12 hours until expiry, market dynamics could shift based on emerging news or events.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Kamala over Trump.
• 2 The NO side appears undervalued, suggesting potential for adjustment.
• 3 Pulse AI indicates a slightly lower confidence compared to market probability.
• 4 The market has 12 hours until expiry, allowing for potential volatility.
• 5 Recent trends in voter sentiment could influence future probabilities.