Market shows a 61% chance of Trump visiting Minnesota in 2026.
The prediction market indicates a 61% probability for Donald Trump's visit to Minnesota in 2026, while the Pulse AI suggests a narrower margin at 54%. The edge of -7 points for the NO side suggests that the market may be overestimating the likelihood of a visit. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100 and a significant time to expiry, the situation remains uncertain.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.