Will Trump visit China by June 30?

High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit China by June 30.

The market indicates a strong belief in Trump's potential visit to China, with a 76.5% probability for 'YES'. However, the AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 69.5%, indicating some uncertainty in the market's sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a visit.
• 2 The NO side appears undervalued by 7 points, indicating potential for adjustment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 337 hours, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Historical trends in Trump's travel suggest unpredictability in such engagements.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.