Will Trump live until march 30th?

99.63%

Market YES

0.37%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

YES

Verdict

90%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

NO side may be undervalued Edge: -7 pts

Market strongly favors Trump living until March 30th.

The market indicates a 97% probability that Trump will live until March 30th, suggesting strong confidence in this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 90%, indicating some uncertainty. The edge of -7 for the NO side suggests that it may be undervalued compared to the market consensus.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive towards Trump's longevity.
2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests potential mispricing.
3 Confidence level of 55 indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 149 hours, adding urgency.
5 The NO side's undervaluation may attract interest from contrarian bettors.