|
Will Google reach $340 in March?
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
2.45% |
17.7% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
13.99% |
18.25% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
59% |
55% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 22)
Polymarket
Politics
|
60% |
50.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic …
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
9.29% |
13.79% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
14.24% |
14.54% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Apple name an outside CEO to replace Tim Cook in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1% |
5.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order i…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
22.77% |
27.56% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Meta cheated at LM Arena to pump Llama-4's score?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
20.51% |
25.43% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week…
Polymarket
AI & Tech
|
30.5% |
35% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
Manifold
Politics
|
52% |
45.97% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
43.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
7.55% |
8.1% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election…
Polymarket
Politics
|
16% |
22.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election…
Polymarket
Politics
|
16% |
18% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Before 2027, will OpenAI release a reasoning model that generates image tokens i…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
22.51% |
27.01% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
4.42% |
16.98% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.3% |
4.8% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.45% |
4.75% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.45% |
5.75% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.65% |
4.85% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
1.65% |
9.55% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.3% |
5.2% |
+4.5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|