|
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold
Politics
|
8.64% |
12.04% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Nick Fuentes go on Joe Rogan before the end of Trump's term?
Manifold
Politics
|
13.67% |
19.67% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their…
Manifold
Politics
|
18.46% |
24.46% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Tucker Carlson run for President by 2032?
Manifold
Politics
|
16% |
22% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?
Manifold
Politics
|
16.22% |
22.22% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Geert Wilders be the Dutch Prime Minister at any point before his death?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.57% |
15.43% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
WILL DONALD TRUMP INVADE MEXICO BEFORE 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
14.79% |
20.79% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
11.34% |
16.77% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
76.48% |
70.48% |
-6 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
15.53% |
20.94% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Bitcoin reach $1M before it reaches $100?
Manifold
Crypto
|
82.19% |
76.19% |
-6 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by E…
Manifold
Crypto
|
50% |
62% |
-6 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.56% |
16.56% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Ghislane Maxwell be pardoned by Trump before 1/1/2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.14% |
16.14% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of J…
Manifold
Politics
|
18.73% |
24.73% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal ele…
Polymarket
Politics
|
99% |
82% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Polymarket
Politics
|
61% |
55.5% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Elect…
Polymarket
Politics
|
77% |
71.5% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
99.95% |
83.15% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
99.95% |
83.95% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 202…
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
81% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Polymarket
Politics
|
64.95% |
59.45% |
-5.5 pts
|
65
|
YES
|
|
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
78.85% |
59.3% |
-5.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during Taoiseach events?
Polymarket
Politics
|
100% |
92.9% |
-5.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|