|
Game 4: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
55% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
23.5% |
27.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
55% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
27.5% |
38% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex b…
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
32% |
29.5% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
28% |
34% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
25% |
29% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Game 4: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
55% |
+5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 29?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% |
5.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 19?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
5.05% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
At the end of Juneteenth 2026 (June 19) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in t…
Manifold
Crypto
|
4.93% |
6.22% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 21?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
5.05% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Bitcoin $170K by mid 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
1.35% |
6.37% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will mHC be used in DeepSeek V4?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
76.17% |
71.03% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will North Korea enter the 2026 US-Iran war as a belligerent?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
9.14% |
21% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Bitcoin $140K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
12% |
17% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Claude Code support AGENTS.md in 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
74% |
58.97% |
-5 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 16?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
5.05% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will a canal be created in the Strait of Hormuz using nuclear weapons?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
0.56% |
7.25% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
25.52% |
38.92% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Backpack launch a token on March 27?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% |
5.3% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will the US win the war against the Houthis in a year? (Read description)
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
2.47% |
14.72% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Bitcoin be higher than $88,888 at the end of 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
37.2% |
45.33% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
20.5% |
+5 pts
|
55
|
NO
|