Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Trump say "Rubio" or "Vance" during Memphis Roundtable?
Polymarket
Politics
|
14.5% | 19.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Memphis Roundtable?
Polymarket
Politics
|
10.5% | 15.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Trump say "Windmill" during Memphis Roundtable?
Polymarket
Politics
|
11.5% | 16.5% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% | 55% | +5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
4.95% | 11.74% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Anthropic escape the "supply chain risk" designation by EOY 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
86.73% | 75.55% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100.000 again before July 1, 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
16% | 24% | +5 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will an AI model solve a FrontierMath Open Problem before 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
90.82% | 79.39% | -5 pts | 60 | YES |