|
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Polymarket
Politics
|
5.7% |
11.85% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election…
Polymarket
Politics
|
17% |
21.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
4.52% |
10.39% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
1.48% |
5.72% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the Tesla RovoVan be available before 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
8.04% |
15.25% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump say "Kim" or "Korea" during events with Japanese PM?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0% |
4.55% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
Manifold
Politics
|
52.34% |
50.94% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Will the "Dead by April" AI agent earn a net profit by April 3, 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
96.26% |
20.97% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 21?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% |
91.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% |
71.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
28.5% |
40% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
11.59% |
18.8% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will meta announce Its shutting down its metaverse by the end of 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
37% |
41.5% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% |
94.45% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% |
94.55% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% |
88.85% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% |
95.25% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% |
95.15% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
64.5% |
-4.5 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will AI be able to reach a human IRS representative before April 2026?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
46.12% |
52.42% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
15.71% |
20.3% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will there be a new AI Startup primarily focused on using AI models for computer…
Manifold
AI & Tech
|
38.29% |
44.18% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Polymarket
Politics
|
0% |
4.9% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 202…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.05% |
12% |
+4.5 pts
|
60
|
NO
|