|
China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
95.97% |
86.71% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
74% |
65% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
YES
|
|
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
11.5% |
50% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 139.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Pipsqueak+4 (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
42% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the U…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
56.61% |
47% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
~
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
42.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-3.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% |
41.5% |
-9 pts
|
60
|
NO
|
|
Est ce l’Amérique va bombardé l’Iran
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
82.13% |
73.13% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
On the 12th anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea, will the Russia-Ukr…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
98.96% |
87.04% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
79% |
61.5% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
79.27% |
70.73% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory they…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
82% |
76.99% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
50% |
42.9% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will America send troops to Iran?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
71.8% |
45.78% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
91.95% |
81% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
17.47% |
48.13% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
78.66% |
69.66% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Peggy Flanagan and Graham Platner both elected senators in November 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
60% |
53.6% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
90.89% |
81.89% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war…
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
67.74% |
55.11% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold
Geopolitics
|
71.52% |
61.02% |
-9 pts
|
55
|
YES
|