On the 12th anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea, will the Russia-Ukraine war still be ongoing?

High probability indicates the Russia-Ukraine war is likely ongoing by Crimea's annexation anniversary.

The market shows a strong consensus that the Russia-Ukraine war will still be active on the 12th anniversary of Crimea's annexation, with a probability of 96.04% for a 'YES' outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a lower probability of 87.04%, suggesting some room for uncertainty. The edge for the 'NO' side indicates it may be undervalued, reflecting potential for shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors ongoing conflict.
• 2 Market probability suggests strong belief in continued hostilities.
• 3 Pulse AI shows slightly lower confidence, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The 'NO' side is perceived as undervalued, presenting potential for market adjustment.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to market dynamics.