Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Market indicates a high likelihood of increased authoritarianism in Iran by 2026.

The prediction market shows a 70.02% probability that Iran will become more authoritarian by 2026, suggesting strong sentiment towards this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view but with a lower probability of 61.02%, indicating some divergence in expectations. The NO side is perceived as undervalued, suggesting potential for a shift in sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards increased authoritarianism.
• 2 The NO side shows a potential undervaluation of 9 points.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 7026 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Pulse AI's lower probability indicates some uncertainty in the prediction.