Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

1
Market Price
Current crowd consensus
2
AI Pulse Score
Our model's adjusted probability
3
Edge Score
Gap between the two — higher = more divergence
Positive edge = YES may be undervalued
Negative edge = NO may be undervalued
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
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4,538 markets with edge score > 3 pts
Market Market AI ⚡ Edge Conf Verdict
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?
Polymarket AI & Tech
55% 58.5% -5 pts 55 YES
Bitcoin below $25K in 2026?
Manifold Crypto
4% 8% +5 pts 55 NO
Bitcoin $55K before $75K?
Manifold Crypto
1% 23% +5 pts 55 NO
Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-I…
Manifold Geopolitics
20.22% 25.22% +5 pts 55 NO
Will Backpack launch a token on March 25?
Polymarket Crypto
0.05% 5.6% +5 pts 55 NO
Will there be a GPT 5.5?
Manifold AI & Tech
71.1% 67.45% -5 pts 55 YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?
Polymarket AI & Tech
68% 69.5% -5 pts 55 YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 30?
Polymarket Crypto
0.05% 5.25% +5 pts 55 NO
Will Backpack launch a token on March 28?
Polymarket Crypto
0.05% 5.05% +5 pts 55 NO
Big Tech capital expenditures will exceed $500 billion in 2026
Manifold AI & Tech
83.85% 79.04% -5 pts 55 YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 22?
Polymarket Crypto
0% 5.55% +5 pts 55 NO
Will ARC AGI 3 be easy for humans and hard for AI?
Manifold AI & Tech
61.98% 73.64% -5 pts 55 YES
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket Geopolitics
2.85% 28% +5 pts 55 NO
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket Geopolitics
2.3% 30% +5 pts 55 NO
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket Geopolitics
0.45% 7.95% +5 pts 55 NO
Will an Israeli participate in IOI 2026
Manifold Geopolitics
16.83% 22.48% +5 pts 55 NO
Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?
Polymarket Crypto
0% 5.05% +5 pts 55 NO
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especiall…
Manifold AI & Tech
63% 55.44% -5 pts 55 YES
Will Israel participate in IOI 2026 (on site)
Manifold Geopolitics
5.4% 11.85% +5 pts 55 NO
Will Amazon dip to $200 in March?
Polymarket AI & Tech
54.3% 69.6% -5 pts 55 YES
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2026 (according to gallop)?
Manifold Geopolitics
22.79% 21.09% +5 pts 55 NO
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket Geopolitics
1.05% 10.1% +5 pts 55 NO
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket Geopolitics
1.15% 44.5% +5 pts 55 NO
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Polymarket Geopolitics
0.95% 44% +5 pts 55 NO
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