Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?

Market suggests a 63.5% chance Tesla will dip to $375 in March.

The prediction market indicates a 63.5% probability that Tesla's stock will fall to $375 by March, with a slight edge suggesting the market is fairly priced. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a lower probability of 58.5%. With 390 hours until expiry, there is time for market dynamics to shift.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a decline in Tesla's stock price.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests balanced expectations.
• 3 Historical performance of Tesla may influence future price movements.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, allowing for potential shifts in trading behavior.
• 5 Time pressure of 390 hours may lead to increased volatility as expiry approaches.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.