Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.
| Market | Market | AI | ⚡ Edge | Conf | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Memphis Roundtable?
Polymarket
Politics
|
18.5% | 24.5% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
98.41% | 92.79% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 93.95% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.55% | 13% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% | 69% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 94% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Polymarket
Crypto
|
71.5% | 65.5% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will there be a Assassination attempt on Donald Trumps life before the the midt…
Manifold
Politics
|
17.09% | 23.75% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
Manifold
Politics
|
3.79% | 9.79% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Trump attack Cuba before July 4, 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
19.67% | 24.77% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
Manifold
Politics
|
18.35% | 19.9% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 93.95% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
77% | 71% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
66.5% | 60.5% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 94% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
33% | 62.5% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Peter Magyar be arrested before the 2026 elections in Hungary?
Manifold
Politics
|
4.77% | 10.77% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game Handicap: NAVI.J (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% | 93.95% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
80.5% | 67.5% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
50% | 51.5% | -6 pts | 60 | ~ |
|
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
61.6% | 55.65% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% | 93.95% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |
|
Will Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March…
Polymarket
Politics
|
0.5% | 25% | +6 pts | 60 | NO |
|
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
99.95% | 84% | -6 pts | 60 | YES |