Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?

Market shows low probability of Trump firing Powell before May 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Trump will not attempt to fire Jerome Powell, with a NO probability of 93%. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 13% for a YES outcome, indicating potential undervaluation of that side by 6 points. The confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, reflecting some uncertainty in the market's stance.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 93%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a higher likelihood for YES at 13%.
• 3 The edge suggests YES may be undervalued by 6 points.
• 4 Confidence level at 60/100 indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 1202 hours, allowing for potential developments.