Will Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Market favors 'NO' for Melania saying 'Challenge' at the event.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for 'NO' at 81%, while Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 25%. This indicates a potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side by 6 points, reflecting some uncertainty in the market's sentiment.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 81%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood for 'YES' at 25%.
• 3 The edge indicates potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side by 6 points.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 Market sentiment may shift based on Melania's public engagement leading up to the event.

Melania Trump is scheduled to participate in a Fostering the Future Together working session of First Spouses and tech and education leaders on March 24, 2026 (https://www.whitehouse.gov/fostering-the-future-together/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump says the listed term during the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Melania's appearance at the Fostering the Future Together event scheduled for March 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

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