|
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
6.15% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% |
3.85% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0.05% |
4.55% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
22.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Elon Musk use the X rebrand as defense strategy during Twitter bankruptcy b…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
20.99% |
24.49% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
3.55% |
8% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
1.35% |
4.9% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
8% |
11.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
1.7% |
5.1% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
1.05% |
4.6% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
40.5% |
45.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
~
|
|
Will I become CEO, CFO, COO, CIO of any publicly traded company by 2100(NYSE, NY…
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
9.35% |
6.25% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?
Manifold
Business & Finance
|
7% |
10.5% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
19.3% |
24.42% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep …
Manifold
Science & Health
|
21.13% |
21.44% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
2.48% |
5.98% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
8.84% |
12.34% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
9.61% |
13.29% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science signifi…
Manifold
Science & Health
|
12.14% |
15.64% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
47% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
~
|
|
Perle Labs FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
3.55% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Perle Labs FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
0% |
3.55% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2033?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
18.76% |
22.26% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will an adult movie be made in space and released by mid 2034?
Manifold
Science & Health
|
39.63% |
43.13% |
+3.5 pts
|
50
|
NO
|