|
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0.05% |
38.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
NO
|
|
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% |
64.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
94% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
40.95% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
NO
|
|
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
94% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% |
92.65% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
94% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
22.5% |
45.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
~
|
|
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
93.65% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
93.05% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
91.15% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
50% |
44% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
NO
|
|
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
64.5% |
63.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
39.5% |
51.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
~
|
|
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
41.5% |
53% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
~
|
|
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
30.5% |
46.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
~
|
|
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
0% |
43.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
NO
|
|
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
94% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
85.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
99.95% |
63.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
91.75% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
82.5% |
76.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
100% |
90.45% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|
|
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Polymarket
Geopolitics
|
67.5% |
61.5% |
-6 pts
|
75
|
YES
|