Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?

High probability suggests Khamenei will tweet on March 16, 2026.

The market shows a strong inclination towards Khamenei tweeting again, with a 99.65% probability for a YES outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability indicates a slightly lower confidence at 93.65%, suggesting some uncertainty. The NO side appears undervalued, indicating potential market mispricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side is undervalued by 6 points, indicating potential market inefficiency.
• 3 Pulse AI shows a lower confidence level compared to market probability.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 149 hours remaining.
• 5 Geopolitical dynamics could rapidly alter the likelihood of a tweet.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.