Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?

High probability that Powell will say 'Good Afternoon' in the March press conference.

The market shows a strong consensus that Powell will greet attendees with 'Good Afternoon', reflected in a 97.75% probability. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit at a slightly lower 91.75%, indicating some room for uncertainty. The NO side appears undervalued, suggesting potential for a shift in sentiment if new information arises.

• 1 Current market probability for YES is very high at 97.75%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely but is slightly lower at 91.75%.
• 3 The NO side is considered undervalued by 6 points, indicating potential for adjustment.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 75/100, suggesting some uncertainty remains.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 40 hours, increasing urgency for market participants.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.