Markets / Top Edge

Top Edge Markets

Markets where our AI model diverges most from current crowd pricing. A positive edge means YES may be undervalued. A negative edge means NO may be undervalued.

1
Market Price
Current crowd consensus
2
AI Pulse Score
Our model's adjusted probability
3
Edge Score
Gap between the two — higher = more divergence
Positive edge = YES may be undervalued
Negative edge = NO may be undervalued
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
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4,538 markets with edge score > 3 pts
Market Market AI ⚡ Edge Conf Verdict
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third…
Manifold Politics
2.65% 8.65% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in March?
Polymarket Politics
0.05% 8.85% +6 pts 55 NO
Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119t…
Manifold Politics
8.12% 14.15% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Bitcoin Outperform Altcoins in 2026?
Manifold Crypto
59.31% 54.35% -6 pts 55 ~
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March?
Polymarket Crypto
91% 83.5% -6 pts 55 YES
Will AOC run for and be elected to Senate in the 2026 mid-term primaries?
Manifold Politics
3.63% 9.63% +6 pts 55 NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections…
Manifold Politics
19.92% 22.76% +6 pts 55 NO
Trump will die before 2027
Manifold Politics
7.55% 13.82% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?
Polymarket Politics
1.7% 25% +6 pts 55 NO
Trump caps credit card interest at 10% by EOY?
Manifold Politics
12.38% 18.38% +6 pts 55 NO
Will I resolve this market to yes within 12 hours of it reaching 10 traders?
Manifold Business & Finance
96.32% 90.32% -6 pts 55 YES
Kat Abughazaleh elected to Congress?
Manifold Politics
1.04% 7.11% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Trump outlive DeSantis?
Manifold Politics
7.26% 12.24% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold Politics
4.84% 10.84% +6 pts 55 NO
$TRUMP $8 by the end of the March
Manifold Politics
1% 10.27% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary?
Manifold Politics
1% 8.16% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado?
Manifold Politics
14% 20% +6 pts 55 NO
Trump proclaims a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026?
Manifold Politics
10% 16% +6 pts 55 NO
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?
Manifold Politics
4.54% 13.79% +6 pts 55 NO
Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold Politics
1.67% 7.61% +6 pts 55 NO
Did Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold Politics
7.05% 12.71% +6 pts 55 NO
Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
Manifold Politics
13.96% 20.91% +6 pts 55 NO
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Polymarket Politics
11% 17% +6 pts 55 NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?
Manifold Politics
4.17% 10.17% +6 pts 55 NO
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