Markets / Politics / Trump proclaims a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 92 days OPEN

Trump proclaims a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026?

10%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
16%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Market shows low probability for Trump declaring a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 10% probability for Trump proclaiming a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026, with a strong consensus against it at 90%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 16%, indicating potential undervaluation of the YES side. However, overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The YES side is perceived as undervalued by 6 points.
  • 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
  • 4 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Political dynamics could influence future probabilities significantly.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Trump makes a public statement supporting the idea
Increased advocacy or public campaigns for a 'Straight Pride month'
Significant shifts in public opinion or political climate regarding LGBTQ+ issues
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,081
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Aug 2026
Status Open
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