Markets / Politics / Did Donald Trump have gay sex?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 95 days OPEN

Did Donald Trump have gay sex?

7.05%
Market YES
92.95%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
12.71%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Market shows low probability for Trump having gay sex, with a slight undervaluation on the YES side.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Donald Trump did not have gay sex, with a NO probability of 93.29%. However, the Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood of 12.71% for the YES side, indicating a potential undervaluation of this outcome by 6 points. The confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting some uncertainty in the market's sentiment.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The YES side appears undervalued based on AI analysis.
  • 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Market liquidity may affect the ease of trading positions.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
New credible allegations or evidence emerging
Statements or admissions from Trump or close associates
Changes in public opinion or media coverage
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $11,343
Liquidity $0
Resolves 02 Jan 2027
Status Open
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