Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Market suggests low likelihood of Bolsonaro running in 2026 election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Jair Bolsonaro being a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 95.16% probability for 'NO'. However, the Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 10.84%, suggesting some potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 95.16%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a higher probability for 'YES' at 10.84%.
• 3 There is a 6-point edge indicating potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6984 hours, allowing for potential developments.