Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Market indicates low probability of Claudio Tapia leaving AFA presidency by July 2026.

The market shows a strong consensus against Claudio Tapia exiting his role as AFA President by July 19, 2026, with an 89% probability of 'NO.' However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for 'YES' at 17%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side by 6 points.

• 1 Current market probability favors Tapia remaining in position.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a higher likelihood for Tapia's exit than market consensus.
• 3 The edge suggests potential market mispricing on the 'YES' side.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential developments impacting Tapia's status.

As of market creation, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to end on July 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudio Fabián Tapia ceases to be President of the Argentine Football Association (AFA) for any length of time between this market's creation and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Tapia's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the AFA and/or Claudio Fabián Tapia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.