|
Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
Manifold
Politics
|
10% |
16% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours …
Manifold
Politics
|
13.92% |
19.92% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine…
Manifold
Politics
|
18.49% |
18.72% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will I get it together?
Manifold
Crypto
|
73.06% |
67.06% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Bitcoin go above $70,000 next week?
Manifold
Crypto
|
99% |
66% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
One Nation gets at least 5 seats in the South Australian election?
Manifold
Politics
|
1.89% |
16.02% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called befo…
Manifold
Politics
|
1% |
7% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?
Polymarket
Crypto
|
100% |
55.5% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Bitcoin below $55K in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
60% |
49.2% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
~
|
|
Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of…
Manifold
Crypto
|
96.36% |
90.36% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will something happen in 2026?
Manifold
Crypto
|
70% |
63% |
-6 pts
|
55
|
YES
|
|
Will Democrats win the Mar A Lago(Trump Residence) District- Florida State House…
Manifold
Politics
|
74.3% |
24.77% |
+6 pts
|
55
|
NO
|
|
Will I ever get to see the Donald Trump "piss tape", as alluded to by the 2017 S…
Manifold
Politics
|
10.65% |
16.65% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold
Politics
|
8.64% |
12.04% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034…
Manifold
Politics
|
5.12% |
11.54% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies?
Manifold
Politics
|
13.52% |
19.52% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?
Manifold
Politics
|
9.81% |
15.81% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
Manifold
Politics
|
6.52% |
12.52% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Bitcoin drop below 50k before it reaches 200k?
Manifold
Crypto
|
75.68% |
70.1% |
-6 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?
Manifold
Politics
|
3.15% |
9.15% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
Manifold
Politics
|
1.15% |
7.14% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will bitcoin hit $300k before 2040-01-23?
Manifold
Crypto
|
74.32% |
69% |
-6 pts
|
50
|
YES
|
|
Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?
Manifold
Politics
|
13.75% |
19.75% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|
|
Will Trump be removed or resign from office before 2029?
Manifold
Politics
|
10.07% |
16.07% |
+6 pts
|
50
|
NO
|